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Item Details
Title: ASSESSING FINANCIAL VULNERABILITY
AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FOR EMERGING MARKETS
By: Morris Goldstein, Graciela L. Kaminsky, Carmen M. Reinhart
Format: Paperback

List price: £16.99
Our price: £13.59
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ISBN 10: 0881322377
ISBN 13: 9780881322378
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Publisher: THE PETERSON INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
Pub. date: 30 April, 2000
Pages: 150
Description: This study reviews the literature on the origins of currency and banking crises. It presents empirical tests on the performance of alternative early-warning indicators for emerging-market economies. The book also identifies crisis-threshold values for early-warning indicators.
Synopsis: The European currency crises of 1992-93, the Mexican crisis of 1994-95, and especially the Asian/global crisis of 1997-98, have all contributed to a heightened interest in the early warning signals of financial crises. This pathbreaking study presents a comprehensive battery of empirical tests on the performance of alternative early warning indicators for emerging-market economies that should prove useful in the construction of a more effective global warning system. Not only are the authors able to draw conclusions about which specific indicators have sent the most reliable early warning signals of currency and banking crises in emerging economies, they also test the out-of-sample performance of the model during the Asian crisis and find that it does a good job of identifying the most vulnerable economies. In addition, they show how the early warning system can be used to construct a "composite" crisis indicator to weigh the importance of alternative channels of cross-country "contagion" of crises, and to generate information about the recovery path from crises.This timely study comes on the eve of impending changes at the International Monetary Fund as that institution reexamines how it reacts to financial crises. Moreover, the study provides "...a wealth of valuable elements for anyone investigating and forecasting adverse developments in emerging markets as well as industrial countries," according to Ewoud Schuitemaker, vice president of the economics department at ABN AMRO Bank.
Publication: US
Imprint: Institute for International Economics,U.S.
Returns: Returnable
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A DECADE OF DEBT
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CHARACTERISTICS OF A SUCCESSFUL EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM (PB)
CONTROLLING CURRENCY MISMATCHES IN EMERGING MARKETS
CONTROLLING CURRENCY MISMATCHES IN EMERGING MARKETS (PB)
DEBATING CHINA'S EXCHANGE RATE POLICY (PB)
DETERMINANTS AND SYSTEMATIC CONSEQUENCES OF INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS (PB)
FINANCIAL REGULATION AFTER THE SUBPRIME AND CREDIT CRISIS (PB)
FUNCTIONING OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM (PB)
GROWTH-ORIENTATED ADJUSTMENT PROGRAMS (PB)
IMF STRUCTURAL POLICY CONDITIONALITY (PB)
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS (PB)
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS (PB)
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS (PB)
MANAGED FLOATING PLUS (PB)
MONEY, CRISES, AND TRANSITION (HB)
POLICY ISSUES IN THE EVOLVING INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM (PB)
RATINGS, RATING AGENCIES AND THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM (HB)
RATINGS, RATING AGENCIES AND THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM (PB)
SAFEGUARDING PROSPERITY IN A GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM - THE FUTURE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE (PB)
STRENGTHENING THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM (PB)
THE ASIAN FINANCIAL CRISIS (PB)
THE CASE FOR AN INTERNATIONAL BANKING STANDARD
THE CASE FOR AN INTERNATIONAL BANKING STANDARD (PB)
THE EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM AND THE IMF (PB)
THE FIRST GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS OF THE 21ST CENTURY (PB)
THE FIRST GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS OF THE 21ST CENTURY, PART II: JUNE-DECEMBER 2008 (PB)
THE FUTURE OF CHINA`S EXCHANGE RATE POLICY (PB)
THE GLOBAL EFFECTS OF FUND-SUPPORTED ADJUSTMENT PROGRAMS (PB)
THE SECOND GREAT CONTRACTION
THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT (HB)
THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT (PB)
THUS RELIGION GROWS - THE STORY OF JUDAISM (PB)
THUS RELIGION GROWS THE STORY OF JUDAISM
THUS RELIGION GROWS THE STORY OF JUDAISM (HB)
TRADE, CURRENCIES, AND FINANCE (HB)

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