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Item Details
| Title:
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THE BLACK SWAN
THE IMPACT OF THE HIGHLY IMPROBABLE |
| By: |
Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
| Format: |
Paperback |
| List price:
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£12.99 |
| Our price: |
£9.48 |
| Discount: |
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| You save:
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£3.51 |
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| ISBN 10: |
0141034599 |
| ISBN 13: |
9780141034591 |
| Availability: |
Usually dispatched within 1-2 days.
 Delivery
rates
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| Stock: |
Currently 95 available |
| Publisher: |
PENGUIN BOOKS LTD |
| Pub. date: |
1 February, 2008 |
| Pages: |
480 |
| Description: |
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions. |
| Synopsis: |
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent 'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell, Sunday Times 'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph 'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics |
| Publication: |
UK |
| Imprint: |
Penguin Books Ltd |
| Returns: |
Returnable |
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