pickabook books with huge discounts for everyone
pickabook books with huge discounts for everyone
Visit our new collection website www.collectionsforschool.co.uk
     
Email: Subscribe to news & offers:
Need assistance? Log In/Register


Item Details
Title: FUTURE BABBLE
WHY EXPERT PREDICTIONS FAIL AND WHY WE BELIEVE THEM ANYWAY
By: Dan Gardner
Format: Paperback

List price: £11.99


We believe that this item is permanently unavailable, and so we cannot source it.

ISBN 10: 0753522365
ISBN 13: 9780753522363
Publisher: EBURY PUBLISHING
Pub. date: 26 February, 2011
Pages: 320
Description: Shows why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts.
Synopsis: In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would be the world's fastest-growing economy by 2000, the USSR no longer existed. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future - everything from the weather to the likelihood of a terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict the future confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly funny book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch.Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.
US Grade: College Freshman and over
Publication: UK
Imprint: Virgin Books
Returns: Returnable
Some other items by this author:


TOP SELLERS IN THIS CATEGORY
Sapiens (Paperback)
Vintage Publishing
Our Price : £9.48
more details
The Emperor's New Mind (Paperback)
Oxford University Press
Our Price : £9.85
more details
A Brief History Of Time (Paperback)
Transworld Publishers Ltd
Our Price : £8.02
more details
The Selfish Gene (Paperback)
Oxford University Press
Our Price : £9.12
more details
What If (Paperback)
Hodder & Stoughton General Division
Our Price : £8.02
more details
BROWSE FOR BOOKS IN RELATED CATEGORIES
 MATHEMATICS AND SCIENCE
 science: general issues
 popular science


Information provided by www.pickabook.co.uk
SHOPPING BASKET
  
Your basket is empty
  Total Items: 0
 

NEW
World’s Worst Superheroes GET READY FOR SOME SUPERSIZED FUN!
add to basket





New
No Cheese, Please! A fun picture book for children with food allergies - full of friendship and super-cute characters!Little Mo the mouse is having a birthday party.
add to basket

New
My Brother Is a Superhero Luke is massively annoyed about this, but when Zack is kidnapped by his arch-nemesis, Luke and his friends have only five days to find him and save the world...
add to basket


Picture Book
Animal Actions: Snap Like a Crab
By:
The first title in a new preschool series from Guilherme Karsten.
add to basket