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Item Details
Title: SIMPLICITY, COMPLEXITY AND MODELLING
By: Philip Dawid (Editor), Mike Christie (Editor), Andrew Cliffe (Editor)
Format: Hardback

List price: £88.95
Our price: £80.06
Discount:
10% off
You save: £8.89
ISBN 10: 0470740027
ISBN 13: 9780470740026
Availability: Usually dispatched within 1-3 weeks.
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Stock: Currently 0 available
Publisher: JOHN WILEY AND SONS LTD
Pub. date: 7 November, 2011
Series: Statistics in Practice
Pages: 220
Description: * Provides a thorough overview of the complex mathematical models involved in modeling complex processes * Written by experienced, respected and well established Statisticians and Engineers and designed to facilitate communication between modelers in different disciplines.
Synopsis: Several points of disagreement exist between different modelling traditions as to whether complex models are always better than simpler models, as to how to combine results from different models and how to propagate model uncertainty into forecasts. This book represents the result of collaboration between scientists from many disciplines to show how these conflicts can be resolved. Key Features: * Introduces important concepts in modelling, outlining different traditions in the use of simple and complex modelling in statistics. * Provides numerous case studies on complex modelling, such as climate change, flood risk and new drug development. * Concentrates on varying models, including flood risk analysis models, the petrol industry forecasts and summarizes the evolution of water distribution systems. * Written by experienced statisticians and engineers in order to facilitate communication between modellers in different disciplines. * Provides a glossary giving terms commonly used in different modelling traditions. This book provides a much-needed reference guide to approaching statistical modelling.Scientists involved with modelling complex systems in areas such as climate change, flood prediction and prevention, financial market modelling and systems engineering will benefit from this book. It will also be a useful source of modelling case histories.
Illustrations: Illustrations
Publication: US
Imprint: Wiley-Blackwell
Returns: Returnable
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